Market analysis of XAUUSD, BITCOIN & FX 13/6/2025

 THE MARKET STORM IS HERE! GOLD, BITCOIN & FX ARE CALLING YOUR NAME - THIS IS THE ACTION PLAN!

Welcome back, warriors of the market! Great waves are forming on the charts, and only the bravest and best-prepared can ride them to the shores of profit. Today, we will "explore" every move of Gold (XAUUSD), Bitcoin (BTCUSD), and the NZDCHF currency pair to uncover the sharpest opportunities!

This isn't just an analysis; this is your battle map!

Important Note: The market is always volatile; every decision must be accompanied by strict risk management. The information below is analyzed from the 2H chart (updated on June 13, 2025) and serves as a compass for you to build your own winning strategy!

1. NZD/CHF: THE FORTRESS HAS FALEN! WHAT'S THE OPPORTUNITY FOR THE BEARS?

2H Chart Overview: A "price fortress" was built and stood for over a month. NZD/CHF was trapped within the 0.49000 - 0.50000 price range. But what must come, must come! A giant red candle has dealt a thunderous blow, shattering the 0.49000 support gate. This is no ordinary signal; this is a declaration of war from the Bears!

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend: Officially shifted from Sideways to a high risk of a strong Downtrend (Bearish). The door to a new downtrend has opened.
• Key Support (Now Broken): 0.49000. This level has now become an extremely strong psychological resistance.
• Momentum: The Bears are in complete control of the game.

Battle Plan - Bear Hunting!

• Scenario 1: Sell the Rally - The Perfect Trap
  • Entry Condition: Patiently wait for the price to return to the "scene of the crime" - the new resistance zone of 0.49000 - 0.49100. If signals of price rejection appear (Pin Bar, Bearish Engulfing candle), that's the moment for the Bears to attack!
  • Potential Entry Zone (Sell Zone): 0.48900 - 0.49100.
  • Stop Loss (SL): Place safely above the resistance, around ~0.49500. Accept a small cut to protect the entire account.
  • Take Profit (TP): The first target is ~0.48000, with a further target at the level you aimed for, ~0.47950. The R:R ratio is ~1:1.6, a worthy reward for patience.
• Scenario 2: Momentum Sell - For the Decisive
  • Entry Condition: If you believe the Bears will give the Bulls no chance to "breathe," you can enter the trade immediately.
  • Potential Entry Point: Around the current price level.
  • Stop Loss (SL): Still placed at ~0.49500.
  • Take Profit (TP): Same as Scenario 1.

Factors to Watch: Statements from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be the winds that can change the storm's direction.

2. XAU/USD (GOLD): THE RALLY RETURNS? WHERE IS THE NEXT BREAKUOT POINT?

2H Chart Overview:

After bouncing of the solid "launchpad" at ~$3280, Gold is showing signs of a king wanting to reclaim his throne. Bullish momentum is returning, and the price is targeting old highs. Cuold this be the beginning of a new tidal wave?

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend (Mid-term): Still UP.
• Short-term Trend: In a phase of sideways movement, accumulation.
• Key Support: ~$3280 (a very strong demand zone).
• Key Resistance: ~$3440 - $3450. Breaking through this "wall" will open up the sky.

Battle Plan - Riding the Golden Wave!

• Scenario 1: Breakout Buy - Catching the Big Wave
  • Entry Condition: Wait for Gold to prove its strength by decisively breaking and closing a 2H candle above the ~$3450 resistance. This is a confirmation signal that the Bulls are ready for a new conquest.
  • Potential Entry Point: Buy when the 2H candle closes above $3450.
  • Stop Loss (SL): Place just below the newly broken resistance, ~$3400.
  • Take Profit (TP): TP1 at the old peak of ~$3520, TP2 could aim for new horizons like ~$3580 - $3600.
• Scenario 2: Buy the Dip - The Golden Position
• Entry Condition: If the price makes a "take a step back to leap forward" move towards the ~$3380 - $3400 zone and strong bullish candles appear.
• Potential Entry Point: Buy in the ~$3380 - $3400 zone.
• Stop loss (SL): Place below the nearest low, ~$3520.

 

3. BTC/USD (BITCOIN): THE LIFE-OR-DEATH BATTLE AT THE SUPPORT LEVEL!

2H Chart Overview:

The king of cryptocurrencies is standing before a "red line" After falling to conquer new highs BTC has been pushed back to the core support zone of ~$96, 750. This is the battle that will decide the upcoming trend. It's either a strong bounce or a fall into a deeper abyss. All eyes are on level!

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend (Mid-term): Still Up, but under threat.
• Short term Trend: In a clear corrective downtrend phase.
• Life-or-Death Support: ~$96, 750. This is the final line of defense for the Bulls in the short term.
• Resistance: ~$108, 000 is the zone currently controlled by the Bears.

Battle Plan - Holding Our Breath!

• Scenario 1: Calculated Dip Buying (High-Risk Buy)
• Entry Condition: ABSOLUTELY DO NOT BUY RECKLESSLY! Only act when the price hits the ~$96, 750 zone and forms extremmely strong reversal signals (hammer candle, double bottom bullish engulfing pattern...).
• Potential Entry Point: Buy at ~$97, 000 - $98, 000 AFTER receiving confirmation signals. 
• Stop Loss (SL): Place just below the low of the reversal candle cluster, for example, ~$95, 000.
• Take Profit (TP): A return to the ~ $104, 000 zone and further to ~$108, 000.

Scenario 2: Sell on Support Breakdown - Go With the Flood

• Entry Condition: If the Bulls cannot hold the fortress and a 2H/4H candle closes decisively below 96,500 USD.
• Potential Entry Point: Sell when the candle closes below 96,500 USD.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place above the recently broken support zone, ~98,500 USD.
• Take Profit (TP): The next target will be the psychological zone of ~92,000 USD.

Factors to Watch: Inflows/outflows from ETF funds, regulatory news, and "whale" movements will be the decisive factors in this battle.

STAY ALERT, PLAN YOUR MOVES, AND BE READY TO ACT WHEN THE TIME IS RIGHT! WISHING ALL WARRIORS SUCCESS!