Market analysis of XAUUSD, BITCOIN & FX 12/6/2025

 

EMBRACE THE MARKET STROM: XAUUSD, BITCOIN & FX ARE CALLING NAME! ACT NOW!

Hello market warriors, steel-hearted individuals constantly seeking opportunities for profit! Get ready to plunge straight into the eye of the profit storm as we unravel the mysteries of the legendary Gold (XAUUSD), the volatile bitcoin (BTCUSD), and the challenging EURAUD pair! This isn't just analytics; this is a call to action for you to see the paths to victory!

Important Note: Every decision is an arrow; aim true and always manage your risk. The information below is a sharp perspective derived from 4H chart data (updated June 12, 2025) and is for reference only to help you develop your own strategy.

1. XAUUSD (GOLD): Indestructible Safe Haven or Just a Temporary Price Wave?

4H Chart Overview:

After a strong upward trend since late April, Gold (XAUUSD) is entering a consolidation phase, moving sideways within a broad range. Currently, he price is fluctuating around the $3,370 - $3,380 levels. This indicates that the market is "catching its breath" before the next major move.

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend (Medium-term): Remains strongly bullish. The upward momentum is supported by global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

• Short-term Trend: Currently in a sideways consolidation phase, indicating indecision between buyers and sellers.

• Key Resistance: Approximately $3,400 - $3,500 (previous highs). This is the "wall" that needs to be overcome for the upward momentum to continue.

• Key Support: Approximately $3,300 - $3,320 (a zone where the price has bounced multiple times). If this zone is broken, the price could correct deeper to $3,200 - $3,250.

Golden Opportunity - Trading Plan

Scenario 1: Breakout Buy - Catching the Next Upward Wave

• Entry Condition: Price decisively breaks above the resistance zone of $3,400 - $3,420 (or more safely, $3,450) and the 4H candle closes above this level. This is a strong signal that buyers have taken control.
• Potential Entry Point: Buy when the 4H candle closes above $3,420 or $3,450.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place just below the broken resistance level, e.g., $3,370 - $3,390.
• Take Profit (TP): Targets could be Fibonacci extensions or next historical highs like $3,500 - $3,550, even $3,600 if market momentum is extremely strong.

Scenario 2: Breakdown Sell - Anticipating a Correction

• Entry Condition: Price decisively breaks below the support zone of $3,300 - $3,320 and the 4H candle closes below that level. This is a sign that sellers are gaining dominance.
• Potential Entry Point: Sell when the 4H candle closes below $3,300.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place above the broken support level, e.g., $3,320 - $3,340.
• Take Profit (TP): Targets could be lower support levels like $3,250 - $3,200.

Factors to Monitor Closely: U.S. inflation reports (CPI), employment situation (NFP), and statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will be the "compass" for gold's trend. Any sign of interest rate policy changes can create significant volatility.

2. BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Will the Crypto King Break Out or Continue Consolidating?

4H Chart Overview: Bitcoin has experienced an impressive rally since late April, peaking around $112,000. Currently, BTC is in a slight correction and consolidation phase within a tighter range. This is a crucial time to determine the next move for the crypto king.

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend (Medium-term): Remains strongly bullish. The upward momentum is supported by events like Halving and inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs.
• Short-term Trend: Currently in a correction/consolidation phase after the rally.
• Key Resistance: Approximately $104,000 - $106,000 (a zone where the price has reacted multiple times). The psychological level of $100,000 is also an extremely important support.

Breakout Opportunities - BTCUSD Trading Plan:

Scenario 1: Breakout Buy - Catching a New Upward Momentum

• Entry Condition: Price decisively breaks and the 4H candle closes above the resistance zone of $110,000 - $112,000. This is a signal that buyers are ready to push the price higher.
• Potential Entry Point: Buy when the 4H candle closes above $112,000.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place below the broken resistance level, e.g., $108,000 - $109,000.
• Take Profit (TP): Targets could be psychological milestones of $115,000, $120,000 or higher Fibonacci extensions.

Scenario 2: Buy the Dip - Buying on Correction in an Uptrend

• Entry Condition: Price corrects to the strong support zone of $104,000 - $106,000 and bullish reversal candle signals appear (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing candle on the 4H chart).
• Potential Entry Point: Buy in the $104,000 - $106,000 zone when reversal signals are present.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place below this support level, e.g., $103,000.
• Take Profit (TP): Targets could be the current resistance zone of $110,000 - $112,000.

Scenario 3: Breakdown Sell - Exercise Extreme Caution!

• Entry Condition: Price decisively breaks below the support zone of $104,000 and especially below the psychological level of $100,000.
• Potential Entry Point: Sell when the 4H candle closes below $104,000 or $100,000.
• Stop Loss (SL): Place above the broken support level, e.g., $105,000.
• Take Profit (TP): Targets could be lower support levels, e.g., $98,000 - $95,000.
• Note: This scenario is less favored in BTC's strong uptrend but should be considered if there is sudden selling pressure from negative news.

Factors to Monitor Closely: Inflows/outflows into Bitcoin ETFs, whale movements, and changes in regulatory policies will directly impact Bitcoin.

3. EURAUD: The Clash of Two Economies - Where's the Next Opportunity?

4H Chart Overview: The EURAUD pair has experienced a strong downtrend previously, but is currently showing signs of recovery and moving sideways within a certain price channel. Based on the image you provided, a buy setup has already been established.

Trend and Market Structure:

• Main Trend (Long-term): Bearish.
• Short-term Trend: Currently in a slight uptrend and sideways movement, forming a consolidation zone.
• Key Resistance: Approximately $1.7700 - $1.7750 (where the price has reacted multiple times).
• Key Support: Approximately $1.7450 - $1.7500.

Current Opportunity – EURAUD Trading Plan (based on existing setup):

• Expected Trade Direction: This buy order is following the short-term recovery trend from the support zone, with expectations of continued upward movement to higher levels.
• Entry Price: Based on the chart you provided, the buy order was established around $1.76998.
• Stop Loss (SL): $1.75698 (Approx. 126.7 pips). This level is placed below the local support zone to protect the trade from minor fluctuations.
• Take Profit (TP): $1.79583 (Approx. 346.1 pips). This target is above the next resistance zone, indicating significant profit potential.
• Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): 2.73 - This is a very good ratio, showing potential profit nearly 3 times the risk.
• Basis for this trade: This trade was likely placed based on a break of a smaller bearish structure or the formation of a higher low after the price touched support. The fact that the price has moved past minor resistance and is moving towards the target is a positive sign.

Factors to Monitor Closely: Monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), along with economic data from both regions (inflation, GDP, employment), will directly impact this pair. If the ECB eases faster than the RBA or the Australian economy faces difficulties, EURAUD could continue to rise.

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Conclusion: The Key Lies in Discipline and Risk Management

XAUUSD, Bitcoin, and AUDJPY, each asset carries its own story and unique opportunities. Combining in-depth technical analysis (based on price patterns, support/resistance, indicators) with fundamental analysis (macroeconomic factors, news) will give you a more comprehensive view.

Remember, there is no "holy grail" in trading. Success comes from:

• Thorough Analysis: Understand the assets you trade.
• Clear Strategy: Define entry/exit points, Stop Loss (SL), and Take Profit (TP) before entering a trade.
• Strict Capital Management: Protecting your account is the top priority.
• Discipline and Patience: Wait for good signals and adhere to your plan.

Fellow traders, do you have any interesting insights or strategies for these three pairs? Feel free to leave a comment and let's discuss to learn from each other! Wishing you successful trading!