Market analysis of FX, XAUUSD, BITCOIN 22/7/2025

 


THE PRIMORDIAL FOREST: THE WAR OF THE TWO ANCIENT TREES

Updated Tuesday morning, July 22, 2025.

In the deep forest of the market, there are no volcanoes or machines, only primordial life. Survival here depends on the ability to cling to the earth. Two of the greatest ancient trees are competing to reach for the light, but only one of them has roots firm enough to be trusted.



🌳 THE FIVE-ROOTED ANCIENT TREE (GOLD): THE STABLE LIFE SOURCE - TRADABLE 🌳

Gold is the Five-Rooted Ancient Tree. It does not grow quickly, but it is incredibly stable. Its five giant roots have bored deep into the earth, symbolizing (1) History, (2) Safe Haven status, (3) Jewelry demand, (4) Central bank buying, and (5) Industrial applications.

Looking at the chart, we see this ancient tree is in a stable growth cycle. It is slowly drawing nutrients from the soil (price bouncing from a support zone), and its canopy is reaching upward in a healthy, predictable manner. Because of this stability, the "Druids" (traders) can create a care plan to help it grow.

The Druid's Tending Plan (Buy Order):

  • Order Type: BUY

  • Tending Zone (Entry): 3,385 - 3,395

  • Pruning Deadwood (Stop Loss): 3,350

  • Reaching for Sunlight (Take Profit): 3,450



🌲 THE THREE-ROOTED TREE (BITCOIN): CHAOS OF THE UNBALANCED - UNTRADABLE 🌲

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is the Three-Rooted Tree. It is also massive, but it lacks a core balance. Its three roots (1-Technology, 2-Speculation, 3-Herd Mentality) are pulling it in three different directions.

Looking at the chart, this ancient tree is shaking violently. It is not reaching up, nor is it falling down. Its branches are thrashing against each other chaotically in a ceaseless wind (sideways price action with high, unpredictable volatility). One root wants to pull it up, another wants to pull it down. This imbalance makes it an extremely dangerous tree.

No one can predict which branch will snap and fall next. Therefore, the Druids have placed a warning sign around it.

A Warning from the Forest:

  • Order Type: WARNING - CANNOT ENTER A TRADE

  • Status: Chaotic, no clear trend.

  • Danger Zone: $116,500 - $121,000

  • The Druid's Note: "This tree is fighting itself. Stand back and observe until it chooses a direction to fall. To approach now is an unnecessary risk."

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