Market analysis of FX, XAUUSD, BITCOIN 10/7/2025

 


THE DANCE IN THE ARENA: A SHOWDOWN BETWEEN THE CUNNING LIZARD AND THE DEADLY PRAYING MANTIS

The financial market's night falls, transforming lifeless numbers into a vibrant ecosystem. In that darkness, two predators with completely different instincts are on the move. One is persistent and stubborn, the other patient and deadly.




BITCOIN: THE CUNNING LIZARD CLINGING TO ITS TERRITORY

Looking at Bitcoin's chart, we don't see a roaring beast, but rather the image of a cunning lizard (BTC/USD). It doesn't attempt to dominate the entire jungle. Instead, it has chosen a familiar rock — a wide price range from approximately $96,000 to $112,000 — and has stubbornly clung to it for weeks.

Its behavior isn't about mighty pounces. It's about short, jerky, and exploratory movements. Like a lizard, it crawls to the top of its rock (around $111,000 - $112,000) to bask in the sun, then quickly slides back into the safety of a crevice when it feels insecure. The small fluctuations in the chart are like its tongue constantly flicking out to sense the environment, to check for any nearby dangers or prey.

Currently, this lizard is perched on the upper edge of its rock. It's in an extremely sensitive position: Will it gather enough energy to make a bold leap to a higher rock (a breakout), or will it once again retract into its familiar safe zone? Its persistence is remarkable, but this hesitation also reveals an invisible fear.

Counter-strategy: With a lizard, chasing it while it's moving within its territory is futile and exhausting. The best approach is to observe patiently. Only when it decides to abandon this rock will we know its true direction.


GOLD: THE DEADLY PRAYING MANTIS IN THE SHADOWS

In stark contrast to the Lizard's stubbornness, Gold takes the form of a deadly praying mantis (XAU/USD). It embodies patience and sudden, lethal strikes.

Gold's chart isn't a horizontal line but a series of sharp angles, brutal "sword swings." This Mantis can remain perfectly still for long periods, blending into its environment, lulling its prey into a false sense of security. And then, when the time is right, it strikes with terrifying speed. The sharp peaks on the chart (like early May and late June) are those lightning-fast sword swings, creating deep and decisive cuts.

Unlike the Lizard, which only moves within its familiar territory, the Mantis is a true hunter. It moves among the branches (price levels), patiently stalking. Recent price movements show it slowly lowering its position, retracting after a successful strike. Its sharp claws are always poised, waiting for the slightest oversight to continue its hunt.

Counter-strategy: Never confront a praying mantis head-on when it's poised to strike. Its attacks are too fast and dangerous. Learn from its patience; wait until after it has struck and is in a resting phase. That's a safer time to act.

Conclusion:

The arena remains. The Lizard is accumulating energy on its rock, while the Mantis Assassin hides in the shadows, waiting. The showdown between persistence and suddenness will continue. The victor will be the one who truly understands the instincts of both its opponent and itself.

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