Market analysis of FX, XAUUSD, BITCOIN 1/7/2025


 TITLE: BATTLEFIELD BULLETIN: DEVELOPMENTS ON 4 FRONTS

Opening: Good morning. The war report for July 1st begins now. The situation on key fronts is developing in complex ways, demanding that strategists be exceptionally cautious and decisive.



1. The Golden Citadel Front (XAU/USD)

  • Context: The Golden Citadel remains a fiercely contested territory. Both the Bulls and the Bears are exhausted after relentless assaults and defenses between the two front lines: ~3,225 (the Bears' line) and ~3,475 (the Bulls' fortress). The air is thick with suspicion and hesitation; neither side dares to launch a full-scale offensive.

  • Strategy:

    • Primary Plan: Stay on the sidelines and preserve your forces. This is a "no man's land" with no room for reckless moves.

    • Offensive Scenario: Only join the Bulls if they successfully breach the fortress wall and plant their flag above ~3,475.

    • Defensive Scenario: Consider siding with the Bears if they shatter the ~3,225 line, or if the Bulls' assault on ~3,475 is repelled disastrously.



2. The Bitcoin Tempest Front (BTC/USD)

  • Context: The Bitcoin Tempest has temporarily weakened after failing to penetrate the "energy wall" at ~112,000. Despite creating violent waves, it lacked the strength to cause a great flood. It is now receding, silently gathering more energy for another assault.

  • Strategy:

    • Primary Plan: Maintain a safe distance. Do not confront the tempest head-on until its direction is clear.

    • Bullish Scenario: Engage only when the tempest gathers enough power to sweep through the ~112,000 wall.

    • Bearish Scenario: Consider a retreat if the eye of the storm collapses and breaches the final support foundation at ~98,000.



3. The New Zealand Serpent Front (NZD/USD)

  • Context: After a long slumber underground, the NZD/USD Serpent has awakened. It has smashed through the hard rock at 0.6024 and is now slithering onto the surface with immense vitality. Its objective is clear: to hunt for prey in the higher lands.

  • Strategy:

    • Action: BUY (Follow the Serpent).

    • Deployment Zone: ~0.6024

    • Objective: ~0.6550

    • Defense Point: Set a trap at ~0.5878. If the Serpent turns back and falls into it, the plan has failed.


4. The Fallen Lion Front (GBP/CHF)

  • Context: The king of the jungle, GBP/CHF, has lost its footing and fallen from its cliff of power at 1.0913. This fall has cost it its position, and it is now tumbling down into the deep valley below. The downward momentum remains very strong.

  • Strategy:

    • Action: SELL (Capitalize on the fall).

    • Deployment Zone: ~1.0913

    • Objective: ~1.0746

    • Defense Point: Place a safety net at ~1.0970. If the Lion bounces back up and gets caught in the net, the plan is aborted.


Final Word

That concludes the report from the main fronts. Remember, in war, the preservation of one's forces is always the top priority

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