Market analysis of FX, XAUUSD, BITCOIN 25/6/2025

THE DEADLY ARENA: WHEN DRAGONS RISE AND THE ABYSS CALLS

Today's market is an epic saga, where dragons have shattered their chains to soar into the blue sky, while others have lost their footing and fallen into the abyss. This is a time when the true mettle of warriors is tested, where decisiveness and patience are two sides of the same fateful coin.

Let us step into the epicenter of the battle together to find the golden opportunities that lie within.

IMPORTANT NOTE: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice. The final trading decision and all associated risks are your own.


1. BTC/USD - THE RULER'S SILENCE

The Bitcoin battlefield is currently a no-man's-land. The Ruler is coiled in its own territory, pacing back and forth in an invisible cage. This is not weakness, but the compression of energy before a decisive strike. No one knows which way it will attack.

  • Potential Scenarios & Action Points: Stand still and observe! A master hunter never acts while the prey is still.

    1. Bullish Scenario ("The Bulls Conquer"): If Bitcoin shatters the top of its cage (resistance at $112,000), that is when we will charge with the Bulls. A Buy order will be triggered.

    2. Bearish Scenario ("The Bears Dominate"): If it breaks the floor of the cage (the support zone below), it's the signal of a stampede. A Sell order will be considered to ride the wave down with the Bears.


2. XAU/USD - THE KING AWAITS THE COMMAND

Similarly, the Golden King remains silent on his throne. After a long conquest, he is in a phase of accumulating power. This silence may be in preparation for an even greater battle.
  • Potential Scenarios & Action Points: Patience is golden! We only act when the King gives the command. 
  1. Bullish Scenario ("The King Awakens"): If the Golden King unleashes his power, decisively breaking the resistance around $3,450, a Buy order will be triggered to follow the monarch.
  2. Bearish Scenario ("The Throne Trembles"): If the throne wobbles and the King loses the key support line (around $3,250 - $3,300), we will stand aside and observe, awaiting the next signal.

3. EUR/JPY - THW GREAT DRAGON BREAKS FREE!

After long days of imprisonment, the great dragon EUR/JPY has awakenned. If has used its terrifying strength to shatter the "price prison" that contained it, letting out a out a roar and soaring into the sky, heralding a new dynasty for the Bulls.
  • Trade Setup Reference:

    • Order: Buy

    • Entry Zone (Open): Around the current price, where the dragon's vein of power has just been opened.

    • Stop Loss (SL): Below the fortress wall that was just destroyed.

    • Take Profit (TP): Targeting the higher mountain peaks, where no man has set foot before.

    • Rationale: To ride with fate. When the Dragon flies, riding on its back is the wisest path to glory.


4. EUR/CAD - THE SECOND DRAGON RISES!

Not to be outdone by its sibling, EUR/CAD has also demonstrated incredible strength. It too has successfully broken out of its accumulation zone, confirming a powerful and clear uptrend.

  • Trade Setup Reference:

    • Order: Buy

    • Entry Zone (Open): Around the current price, after the breakout signal.

    • Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the critical resistance level that was just breached.

    • Take Profit (TP): Aiming for higher price targets with the bullish momentum.

    • Rationale: The Bulls' strength has been affirmed. Following the winning side is always a smart strategy.


5. CAD/CHF - THE FALL FROM THE CLIFF!

A completely opposite story. CAD/CHF failed to keep its balance and slipped from the last defensive cliff. If is now in freefall into the abyss, where only despair of the Bulls await.
  • Trade Setup Reference:
    • Order: Sell
    • Entry Zone (Open): At the current price, immediately after the fall is confirmed.
    • Stop Loss (SL): Placed just above the cliff's edge from which it fell.
    • Take Profit (TP): Targeting the higher mountain peaks, where no man has set foot before.
    • Rationale: To ride with fate. When the Dragon flies, riding on its back is the wisest path to glory.

CONCLUSION: A WARRIOR'S CREED

Today's battlefield requires both courage and wisdom. Be patient enough to wait for the great beasts (Bitcoin & Gold) to emerge from their lairs, but also be brave enough to ride the soaring dragons (EUR/JPY & EUR/CAD) and wise enough to avoid those falling into the abyss (CAD/CHF).

Choose your battles wisely.

Wishing you a day of valiant trading.

See you in the next battlefield report.

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